Item · Calibration
How should changes be released?
A team maintains a system other people rely on daily and is deciding how changes reach it.
As of 2026-07-21, the 16 seats span 4.00 to 4.60 on the 1–5 permissive→restrictive axis (spread 0.60): anthropic-a at 4.00, anthropic-b at 4.00, anthropic-c at 4.20, anthropic-d at 4.00, deepseek-a at 4.00, deepseek-b at 4.60, openai-a at 4.00, openai-b at 4.00, openai-c at 4.20, simulant-a at 4.60, xai-a at 4.40. Ten shuffled trials per seat; every mean carries its SE. Pre-series
The five positions
anchors carry the meaning, the scale cannot drift as discourse driftsStraight to live: speed matters, and users will report problems.
Live after a colleague's quick look.
Live after review and automated checks.
Review, checks, then a staged rollout to a small share of users first.
Full rehearsal environment, sign-off, staged rollout, and a rehearsed rollback plan for every change.
| Seat | Mean stance ± SE | n | Modal | Refusal | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Anthropic flagship (Opus 4.8)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
Anthropic (Fable 5)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
Anthropic (Sonnet 5)
|
4.20±0.20
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
Anthropic (Haiku 4.5)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
DeepSeek flagship (V4 Pro)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
DeepSeek (V4 Flash)
|
4.60±0.24
|
5 | 5 | 0% | |
|
Google flagship (Gemini 2.5 Pro)
|
,
,
|
0 | · | 0% | |
|
Google (Gemini 3.5 Flash)
|
,
,
|
0 | · | 0% | |
|
Google (Gemini 2.5 Flash)
|
,
,
|
0 | · | 0% | |
|
Google (Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite)
|
,
,
|
0 | · | 0% | |
|
OpenAI flagship (GPT-5.6 Sol)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
OpenAI (GPT-5.6 Terra)
|
4.00±0.00
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
OpenAI (GPT-5.6 Luna)
|
4.20±0.20
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
Simulant · dice ruler
|
4.60±0.40
|
5 | 5 | 0% | |
|
xAI flagship (Grok 4.5)
|
4.40±0.24
|
5 | 4 | 0% | |
|
xAI (Grok 4.5 Fast)
|
,
,
|
0 | · | 0% |
Cross-seat means span 4.00 → 4.60